NFL Opening Week Filled With Heavy Favorites

USA (SANEPR.com) June 30, 2008 -- The 2008-2009 NFL Season kicks off on Thursday, September 4 without much change from last year. While it’s been almost seven months since the New England Patriots were upset by the Giants in the Super Bowl, most online sportsbooks don’t see much change at the top and consider the Patriots and Indianapolis Colts as the teams to beat once again.

“The two biggest favorites on opening day are the Patriots and Colts,” said Dan DelGato, director of operations for LazerWager.com. “New England is favored at home by 16 points hosting Kansas City while the Colts are a 9 point home favorite against Chicago on Sunday Night Football,” added DelGato.

The NFL had hoped that their free agency policy would bring parody between the teams, but nothing could be further from the truth. Even with seven months of offseason trades, free agent signings, the NFL Draft and the anticipation of a new season, an incredible 5 of the 13, or 38% of opening Sunday’s games are favorites of a touchdown or more!

Three opening weekend games featuring heavy home favorites include San Diego (-10) hosting Carolina, Philadelphia (-7) against St. Louis and Pittsburgh (-7) over Houston. With New England surprisingly losing last year’s Super Bowl, the AFC looks to have a good shot at revenge as three of these four large favorites hail from the American Football Conference.

Last season, only one game closed with a point spread above a touchdown. Jacksonville (-8) hosted Tennessee as the largest favorite on the schedule, only to lose the game outright, 13-10! Interestingly, favorites of 4 points or more posted a 6-1 record both straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS), with the only loss coming from heavily favored Jacksonville.

BoDog, another online sportsbook, agrees with everyone in the gaming industry. With the exceptions of New England, Indianapolis, Dallas and San Diego, they currently offer the other 28 NFL teams at 12-1 odds or higher to win the Super Bowl.

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